Finance


Associated Press (AP) has 3 reports about moral hazard in US government’s US$700B bailout policy to financial industry.

Amidst the biggest financial industry shake-up since the Great Depression, an article in Washington Post from The Associated Press, show the real culprit of what happening in Financial Market.

It’s been nearly a decade since Congress and President Clinton reshaped the financial landscape. That 1999 legislation removed Depression-era barriers between commercial banks and investment firms and allowed the creation of financial behemoths where years later the risks of underwriting subprime mortgages were somewhat hidden.
Former Sen. Phil Gramm, R-Texas, until recently one of the McCain campaign’s top economic advisers, was a chief writer of that law.
McCain voted for a Senate version of the bill but did not vote on the final package. Biden voted against the Senate legislation but for the final compromise that Clinton signed. Obama was not in Congress at the time.

Meanwhile, the big 2 in Investment Banking category:

For Goldman, which is expected on Tuesday to report its worst quarterly results since going public in 1999, it was the stock’s biggest one-day drop in eight years.

Morgan Stanley, which has been shedding assets since an embarrassing fourth quarter loss last year, likewise will be under pressure to show its house is in order when it reports results on Thursday.

We need a preventive action especially in Financial System, as said by Paul Krugman from NYT

The real answer to the current problem would, of course, have been to take preventive action before we reached this point. Even leaving aside the obvious need to regulate the shadow banking system — if institutions need to be rescued like banks, they should be regulated like banks — why were we so unprepared for this latest shock? When Bear went under, many people talked about the need for a mechanism for “orderly liquidation” of failing investment banks. Well, that was six months ago. Where’s the mechanism?

To better understand the financial problem, The Time has 2 good articles: How Financial Madness Overtook Wall Street and Why the Government Wouldn’t Let AIG Fail.

And there is also a rumor about relations between AIG and China

(Updated 08/10/03)
Another good article from Reuters

(Updated 08/10/04)
Spheres of influences

(Updated 08/11/28) Thomas L. Friedman wrote after Citibank was bailed out more!

(Updated 08/12/27) Chinese Savings Helped Inflate American Bubble

Wow :)

US Govt national outstanding debt

According to this report until September 2006, the number of PSP shipped is 22.940 thousand PSP, with 14 milion PSP for just last year. Until September 2006, Nintendo could shipped 26.820 thousand Nintendo DS (with DS Lite included).

In the meantime, Sony was predicted will be sold 4.13 million PS3 until March 2007. Meanwhile, Nintendo was predicted will be sold 5.47 milion Wii until the end ot the year.

PS3 displayed

Kesimpulan: kalau PSP sudah bisa di hack, ternyata DS juga sudah bisa. Tunggu sampai beneran dapet infonya ;-)

Peringkat negara dengan perusahaan yang sulit menyuap:

  • Switzerland
  • Sweden
  • Australia
  • Austria
  • Canada

Peringkat negara dengan perusahaan yang mudah menyuap:

  • India
  • China
  • Russia
  • Turkey
  • Taiwan

Source: Transparency International; Article from BBC

An interesting article from Newsweek about How Long Will America Lead the World? by Zakaria, a Newsweek editor with background from Foreign Affairs Magazine’s Editor in his belly.

Some of the quote are:

  • A Goldman Sachs study concludes that by 2045, China will be the largest economy in the world, replacing the United States.
  • Much of the concern centers on the erosion of science and technology in the U.S., particularly in education.
  • The national academies’ report points out that China and India combined graduate 950,000 engineers every year, compared with 70,000 in America; that for the cost of one chemist or engineer in the U.S. a company could hire five chemists in China or 11 engineers in India; that of the 120 $1 billion-plus chemical plants being built around the world one is in the United States and 50 are in China.
  • The United States has a history of worrying that it is losing its edge. This is at least the fourth wave of such concerns since 1945. The first was in the late 1950s, produced by the Soviet Union’s launch of the Sputnik satellite. The second was during the early 1970s, when high oil prices and slow growth in the U.S. convinced Americans that Western Europe and Saudi Arabia were the powers of the future and President Nixon heralded the advent of a multipolar world. The most recent one was in the mid-1980s, when most experts believed that Japan would be the technologically and economically dominant superpower of the future. The concerns in each one these cases was well founded, the projections intelligent. But the reason that none of these scenarios came to pass is that the American system—flexible, resourceful and resilient—moved quickly to correct its mistakes and refocus its attention. Concerns about American decline ended up preventing it. As Andy Grove puts it, “Only the paranoid survive.”
  • America’s problem right now is that it is not really that scared.
  • But mainstream America is still unconcerned. Partly this is because these trends are operating at an early stage and somewhat under the surface. Americans do not really know how fast the rest of the world is catching up.
  • It is not an exaggeration to say that over the past five years, because of bad American policies, London is replacing New York as the world’s financial capital.
  • Our entitlement programs are set to bankrupt the country, the health-care system is an expensive time bomb, our savings rate is zero, we are borrowing 80 percent of the world’s savings and our national bill for litigation is now larger than for research and development
  • Its people work hard, putting in longer hours than those in other rich countries. Much of this has do to with the history and culture of the society. A huge amount of it has to do with immigration, which keeps America constantly renewed by streams of hardworking people, desperate to succeed. Science laboratories in America are more than half filled with foreign students and immigrants.
  • That is why America, alone among industrial nations, has been able to do the nearly impossible: renew its power and stay at the top of the game for a century now.
  • No matter what we do, they will have more, and cheaper, labor. What we can do is take the best features of the America system—openness, innovation, immigration and flexibility—and enhance them, so that they can respond to new challenges by creating new industries, new technologies and new jobs, as we have in the past.
  • Our greatest danger is that when the American public does begin to get scared, they will try to shut down the very features of the country that have made it so successful. They will want to shut out foreign companies, be less welcoming to immigrants and close themselves off from competition and collaboration. Over the past year there have already been growing paranoia on all these fronts. If we go down this path, we will remain a rich country and a stable one. We will be less troubled by the jarring changes that the new world is pushing forward. But like Britain after Queen Victoria’s reign, it will be a future of slow, steady national decline. History will happen to us after all.

    (more…)

An interesting data from WSJ in article WSJ.com – Thinking Global

New International Monetary Fund data show that official currency reserves of the developing world nearly quadrupled over the past decade to $2.9 trillion last year, while those of industrialized countries rose 150%. Last year alone, emerging-markets’ reserve holdings grew 18% from the previous year, against a 1.5% decline among developed countries. That has put nearly 70% of global currency reserves in developing-countries’ hands, “a staggering accumulation” says former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers. The share of total reserves held in dollars was 66.5% in 2005, up from 65.9% in 2004. And the total amount of reserves has doubled in the last five years. So there are more reserves overall — and they’re concentrated in less reliable hands.